Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 04/10, 00:15
Prediction: Argentinos Jrs vs CA Tigre
Team pages: Argentinos Jrs · CA Tigre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Argentinos Jrs1.3
CA Tigre0.7
1X2
Argentinos Jrs
Draw
CA Tigre
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Argentinos Jrs
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Tigre
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentinos Jrs
3–1–2
CA Tigre
(6 last)
- CA Tigre1-1Argentinos Jrs
- CA Tigre2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs1-0CA Tigre
- Argentinos Jrs0-2CA Tigre
- CA Tigre0-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs2-1CA Tigre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentinos Jrs 1530 · CA Tigre 1463
| Argentinos Jrs | Draw | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 31% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1530 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentinos Jrs | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentinos Jrs 3–1–2 CA Tigre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 31/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Tigre |
| 18/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
| 06/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 12/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Tigre |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlético Tucumán | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | CA Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentinos Jrs | CA Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia LP | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| River Plate | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Belgrano | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Argentinos Jrs (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Tigre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentinos Jrs win (50%). Probabilities: Argentinos Jrs 50%, draw 31%, CA Tigre 19%.
How many goals are expected in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Tigre?
The model expects 2 goals (Argentinos Jrs 1.3 · CA Tigre 0.7), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Tigre?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.