Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Stjarnan (W)
Team pages: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) · Stjarnan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.68
Stjarnan (W)1.46
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Draw
Stjarnan (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
1–5
Stjarnan (W)
(6 last)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)3-2Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)2-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
- Stjarnan (W)2-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1-2Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)1-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
- Stjarnan (W)3-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1448 · Stjarnan (W) 1447
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Draw | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stjarnan (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1–0–5 Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 09/03/24 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 04/07/23 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 02/05/23 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 18/03/23 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 58 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 64 | 39 | 43 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 46 | 30 |
| 4 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 29 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 29 |
| 6 | Stjarnan (W) | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 27 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Stjarnan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Breidablik (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-3 W | 1-5 L |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/10 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) win (42%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 42%, draw 25%, Stjarnan (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.68 · Stjarnan (W) 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.