Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Breidablik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Team pages: Breidablik (W) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Breidablik (W)2.27

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)1.3

1X2

58% 21% 21%

Breidablik (W) Draw FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Breidablik (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Breidablik (W) 3–2–1 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (6 last)

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)0-3Breidablik (W)
Breidablik (W)2-3FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Breidablik (W)0-0FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Breidablik (W)3-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Breidablik (W)2-1FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-2Breidablik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breidablik (W) 1543 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1478

	Breidablik (W)	Draw	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model	58%	21%	20%
Market	59%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1543 vs 1478).
H2H favours Breidablik (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breidablik (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 8.6	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:05 +3’	1.53	4.33	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik (W) 3–2–1 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Breidablik (W)
25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Breidablik (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
02/04/26 Iceland Super Cup Women	Breidablik (W)	0-0	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
18/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Breidablik (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
04/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Breidablik (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
16/08/25 Iceland Cup Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Breidablik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Breidablik (W)	22	16	1	5	58	27	49
2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	22	13	4	5	64	39	43
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	22	9	3	10	37	46	30
4	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	22	8	5	9	40	37	29
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	22	8	5	9	31	40	29
6	Stjarnan (W)	22	7	6	9	32	34	27

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breidablik (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Stjarnan (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	5-4 W	0-4 L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	4-1 W	2-3 L
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breidablik (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
04/10	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-4	5-4	7	1	W
26/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
17/09	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-0	4-1	9	3	W
07/09	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
20/08	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	18	1	L
15/08	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
12/08	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
29/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
04/10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
27/09	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	2-3	4	1	L
18/09	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
06/09	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
30/08	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	9	2	D
21/08	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
15/08	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
12/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-4	4	2	W
29/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breidablik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Breidablik (W) 58%, draw 21%, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Breidablik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Breidablik (W) 2.27 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Breidablik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.