Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Team pages: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) · Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.22Total
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.85
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.37
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Draw
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
3–3
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)7-3Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)2-1FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-3Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)4-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)4-1FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1495 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1522
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.3 | 3.8 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 3–0–3 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 7-3 HT 3-2 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 30/04/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 21/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 05/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 28/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 17/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 HT 4-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 35 | 43 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 46 | 30 |
| 4 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 29 |
| 5 | Stjarnan (W) | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 33 | 27 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 37 | 26 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 5-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Breidablik (W) | 0-3 L | 4-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-4 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (67%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 67%, draw 18%, Throttur Reykjavik (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 4.22 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.85 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.37), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.