Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik (W) · Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Throttur Reykjavik (W)2.33

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1.64

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Throttur Reykjavik (W) Draw Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Throttur Reykjavik (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDLWLW

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2–2 Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (4 last)

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1-2Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)4-2Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1-2Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)5-3Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1533 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1491

	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Draw	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Our model	53%	21%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (W) (rating 1533 vs 1491).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.9	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:56 +12’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2–0–2 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Iceland Cup Women	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Throttur Reykjavik (W)
20/07/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	4-2 HT 1-1	Throttur Reykjavik (W)
11/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
07/03/26 Iceland Cup Women	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	5-3 HT 2-0	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Breidablik (W)	22	16	1	5	58	27	49
2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	22	13	4	5	64	39	43
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	22	9	3	10	37	46	30
4	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	22	8	5	9	40	37	29
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	22	8	5	9	31	40	29
6	Stjarnan (W)	22	7	6	9	32	34	27

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	4-0 W	3-2 W
Breidablik (W)	4-5 L	1-4 L
Stjarnan (W)	5-1 W	0-0 D
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	3-4 L	2-1 W
Valur Reykjavik (W)	3-2 W	1-4 L
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Throttur Reykjavik (W)

DDWWDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	1	3	W
04/10	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	4-5	5	1	L
27/09	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-0	5-1	12	4	W
18/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-3	3-4	4	2	L
07/09	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
29/08	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	14	2	D
21/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
12/08	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-0	3-2	6	4	W
06/08	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	12	1	D
28/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	5	2	D

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

DWLWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
02/10	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
27/09	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	3-2	7	1	W
17/09	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-3	1-4	2	3	L
06/09	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-4	2	7	L
29/08	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
20/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
12/08	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
07/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	4-2	2	4	W
28/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 52%, draw 22%, Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2.33 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.64), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.