Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 17/09, 21:15
Prediction: Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Team pages: Breidablik (W) · Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Breidablik (W)2.88
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)0.99
1X2
Breidablik (W)
Draw
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Breidablik (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Breidablik (W)
2–0
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
(2 last)
- Breidablik (W)1-0Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
- Grindavik/Njardvik (W)0-5Breidablik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Breidablik (W) 1576 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1455
| Breidablik (W) | Draw | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1576 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Breidablik (W): 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breidablik (W) | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8.9 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik (W) 2–0–0 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) |
| 30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Breidablik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 32 | 37 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 34 | 27 |
| 4 | Stjarnan (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 26 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 22 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breidablik (W) | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 7-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 18 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Breidablik (W) 75%, draw 15%, Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Breidablik (W) 2.88 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.