Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 25/09, 20:00
Prediction: Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Team pages: Valur Reykjavik (W) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.52
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.38
1X2
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Valur Reykjavik (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valur Reykjavik (W)
2–1–3
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)1-0Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)0-1Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)3-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)3-2Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)1-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1476 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1491
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 21/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 30/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 04/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 23/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 23 |
| 2 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
| 3 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 21 |
| 4 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valur Reykjavik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Breidablik (W) | 1-7 L | 1-4 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valur Reykjavik (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik (W) 40%, draw 25%, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 34%.
How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.52 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.38), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.