Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)
Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik (W) · Stjarnan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.78
Stjarnan (W)1.38
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Stjarnan (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
2–1–3
Stjarnan (W)
(6 last)
- Stjarnan (W)1-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)0-1Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)5-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Stjarnan (W)0-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)4-2Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)2-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1489 · Stjarnan (W) 1476
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stjarnan (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 27/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 11/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 20/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 15/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 40 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 37 | 30 |
| 4 | Stjarnan (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 26 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 23 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 22 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Stjarnan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 3-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Breidablik (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 46%, draw 25%, Stjarnan (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.78 · Stjarnan (W) 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.