Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Team pages: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1.18

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.76

1X2

14% 16% 70%

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Draw FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLWLLL

FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1–2 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (3 last)

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1-6FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-1Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)0-1Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1459 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1523

	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	Draw	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model	13%	17%	70%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1459 vs 1523).
H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W): 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	3.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.6	2.6 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.75

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.88

2 (-1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 6.50▼	Pinn 6.53
X	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 5.80
2	1.27 → 1.28▲	Pinn 1.30 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +25’	7.00	5.75	1.27
16:14 +21’	6.50▼	5.75	1.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +63’	6.49	5.77	1.31
19:37 +152’	6.53▲	5.80▲	1.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1–0–2 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	1-6 HT 1-2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
06/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
25/02/26 Iceland Cup Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Breidablik (W)	19	13	1	5	50	22	40
2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	19	12	4	3	57	32	40
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	19	9	3	7	35	37	30
4	Stjarnan (W)	19	7	5	7	31	28	26
5	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	19	6	5	8	27	31	23
6	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	19	6	4	9	26	37	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Breidablik (W)	1-4 L	0-3 L
Valur Reykjavik (W)	1-4 L	2-2 D
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Fram Reykjavik (W)	4-0 W	6-4 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	4-2 W	2-2 D
Stjarnan (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	4-2 W	7-3 W
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

LLWDWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-3	1-4	2	3	L
06/09	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-4	2	7	L
29/08	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
20/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
12/08	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
07/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	4-2	2	4	W
28/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
20/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	4-2	3	5	W
16/07	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-6	3	1	L
09/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	4	L

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

WWWDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
06/09	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
30/08	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	9	2	D
21/08	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
15/08	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
12/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-4	4	2	W
29/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
21/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	7-3	8	1	W
16/07	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-1	11	1	W
09/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-2	7-3	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 14%, draw 16%, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 70%.

How many goals are expected in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.18 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.76), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.