Prediction: Brew Saga vs KMG Holdings
Team pages: Brew Saga · KMG Holdings
- KMG Holdings4-2Brew Saga
- Brew Saga0-1KMG Holdings
| Brew Saga | Draw | KMG Holdings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KMG Holdings (rating 1487 vs 1602).
- H2H favours KMG Holdings: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brew Saga | KMG Holdings | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.9 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brew Saga 0–0–2 KMG Holdings
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Japan Regional League | KMG Holdings | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Brew Saga |
| 29/06/25 Japan Regional League | Brew Saga | 0-1 HT 0-0 | KMG Holdings |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brew Saga | KMG Holdings |
|---|---|---|
| Veroskronos Tsuno | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Nippon Steel Oita | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Nobeoka Agata | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| MHI Nagasaki | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kawasoe Club | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| NIFS Kanoya FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Nexus Miyakonojo | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: KMG Holdings (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brew Saga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-5 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | D |
KMG Holdings
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 19 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brew Saga vs KMG Holdings?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KMG Holdings win (66%). Probabilities: Brew Saga 15%, draw 19%, KMG Holdings 66%.
How many goals are expected in Brew Saga vs KMG Holdings?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Brew Saga 0.98 · KMG Holdings 2.24), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brew Saga vs KMG Holdings?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.