Prediction: Nexus Miyakonojo vs KMG Holdings
Team pages: Nexus Miyakonojo · KMG Holdings
- KMG Holdings4-1Nexus Miyakonojo
| Nexus Miyakonojo | Draw | KMG Holdings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 14% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KMG Holdings (rating 1431 vs 1571).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nexus Miyakonojo | KMG Holdings | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nexus Miyakonojo 0–0–1 KMG Holdings
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Japan Regional League | KMG Holdings | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Nexus Miyakonojo |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nexus Miyakonojo | KMG Holdings |
|---|---|---|
| Brew Saga | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Nippon Steel Oita | 4-2 W | 4-0 W |
| CA Celeste | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Nobeoka Agata | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| MHI Nagasaki | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Kawasoe Club | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| NIFS Kanoya FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Veroskronos Tsuno | 1-7 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KMG Holdings (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nexus Miyakonojo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-4 | 1-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
KMG Holdings
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 19 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nexus Miyakonojo vs KMG Holdings?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KMG Holdings win (76%). Probabilities: Nexus Miyakonojo 9%, draw 15%, KMG Holdings 76%.
How many goals are expected in Nexus Miyakonojo vs KMG Holdings?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Nexus Miyakonojo 0.99 · KMG Holdings 2.91), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nexus Miyakonojo vs KMG Holdings?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.