Football · Japan Regional League · 20/09, 03:00

Prediction: NIFS Kanoya FC vs Brew Saga

Team pages: NIFS Kanoya FC · Brew Saga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

NIFS Kanoya FC1.15

Brew Saga1.24

1X2

34% 28% 39%

NIFS Kanoya FC Draw Brew Saga

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NIFS Kanoya FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWDWL

Brew Saga 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWLWLWW

Head-to-head

NIFS Kanoya FC 1–2 Brew Saga (3 last)

Brew Saga1-0NIFS Kanoya FC
NIFS Kanoya FC3-1Brew Saga
Brew Saga1-0NIFS Kanoya FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NIFS Kanoya FC 1474 · Brew Saga 1531

	NIFS Kanoya FC	Draw	Brew Saga
Our model	33%	30%	37%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brew Saga (rating 1474 vs 1531).
H2H favours Brew Saga: 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NIFS Kanoya FC	Brew Saga
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +11’	2.55	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NIFS Kanoya FC 1–0–2 Brew Saga

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Japan Regional League	Brew Saga	1-0 HT 0-0	NIFS Kanoya FC
07/09/25 Japan Regional League	NIFS Kanoya FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Brew Saga
15/06/25 Japan Regional League	Brew Saga	1-0 HT 1-0	NIFS Kanoya FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NIFS Kanoya FC	Brew Saga
Nippon Steel Oita	0-2 L	1-0 W
MHI Nagasaki	1-0 W	1-0 W
Kawasoe Club	0-0 D	0-0 D
Nexus Miyakonojo	2-1 W	5-1 W
KMG Holdings	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Brew Saga (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NIFS Kanoya FC

LWLDLLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
19/07	MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/07	Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/06	Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
27/06	KMG Holdings Japan Regional League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
14/06	Brew Saga Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/06	Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
31/05	CA Celeste Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
05/04	Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
04/04	KMG Holdings Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	3	1	L

Brew Saga

LDWDWLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League	3-1	5-1	4	2	W
13/09	KMG Holdings Japan Regional League	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
06/09	Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League	0-5	1-6	5	0	L
18/07	Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/07	Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
28/06	MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
27/06	Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
14/06	NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
13/06	Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League	2-0	2-2	7	0	D
31/05	KMG Holdings Japan Regional League	1-1	2-4	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NIFS Kanoya FC vs Brew Saga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brew Saga win (39%). Probabilities: NIFS Kanoya FC 34%, draw 28%, Brew Saga 39%.

How many goals are expected in NIFS Kanoya FC vs Brew Saga?

The model expects 2.39 goals (NIFS Kanoya FC 1.15 · Brew Saga 1.24), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NIFS Kanoya FC vs Brew Saga?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.