Football · Japan Regional League · 20/09, 07:00

Prediction: Cento Cuore Harima vs Moriyama Samurai

Team pages: Cento Cuore Harima · Moriyama Samurai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Cento Cuore Harima2.42
Moriyama Samurai0.63
1X2
76% 16% 7%
Cento Cuore Harima Draw Moriyama Samurai
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cento Cuore Harima 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDWWWLLL
Moriyama Samurai 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLLD
Head-to-head
Cento Cuore Harima 1–1 Moriyama Samurai (2 last)
  • Moriyama Samurai1-2Cento Cuore Harima
  • Moriyama Samurai1-0Cento Cuore Harima
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cento Cuore Harima 1528 · Moriyama Samurai 1402
Cento Cuore HarimaDrawMoriyama Samurai
Our model76%17%7%
Market77%16%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cento Cuore Harima (rating 1528 vs 1402).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cento Cuore HarimaMoriyama Samurai
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.90.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.71.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cento Cuore Harima 101 Moriyama Samurai

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Japan Regional League
Moriyama Samurai1-2
HT 1-1
Cento Cuore Harima
25/08/24
Japan Regional League
Moriyama Samurai1-0
HT 0-0
Cento Cuore Harima

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCento Cuore HarimaMoriyama Samurai
Velago Ikoma 0-1 L 0-1 L
Ikoma FC Nara 0-1 L 0-2 L
FC Basara Hyogo 0-2 L 1-4 L
Ococias Kyoto AC 1-0 W 1-1 D
AS Laranja Kyoto 5-0 W 0-1 L
Asuka FC 4-1 W 0-2 L
Arterivo Wakayama 0-0 D 0-5 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Cento Cuore Harima (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cento Cuore Harima

WDWDWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 52 L
12/09 Ikoma FC Nara
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-1 53 L
23/08 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-2 112 L
04/07 Ococias Kyoto AC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 51 W
27/06 AS Laranja Kyoto
Japan Regional League
2-0 5-0 73 W
14/06 Moriyama Samurai
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-1 52 W
06/06 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-2 55 D
31/05 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
2-0 4-1 74 W
23/05 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 92 D
18/04 Ococias Kyoto AC
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-1 80 W

Moriyama Samurai

LDLLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Ococias Kyoto AC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 53 D
30/08 Ikoma FC Nara
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-2 53 L
22/08 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 12 L
04/07 Arterivo Wakayama
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-5 14 L
28/06 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
1-3 1-4 60 L
14/06 Cento Cuore Harima
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 02 L
06/06 AS Laranja Kyoto
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 41 L
24/05 Velago Ikoma
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 33 L
16/05 Asuka FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 14 D
12/04 FC Basara Hyogo
Japan Regional League
0-2 1-3 40 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cento Cuore Harima vs Moriyama Samurai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cento Cuore Harima win (76%). Probabilities: Cento Cuore Harima 76%, draw 16%, Moriyama Samurai 7%.

How many goals are expected in Cento Cuore Harima vs Moriyama Samurai?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Cento Cuore Harima 2.42 · Moriyama Samurai 0.63), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cento Cuore Harima vs Moriyama Samurai?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.