Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio 1924
Team pages: Notaresco Calcio 1924
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Teramo1.89
Notaresco Calcio 19241.03
1X2
Teramo
Draw
Notaresco Calcio 1924
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Teramo
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Notaresco Calcio 1924
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Teramo
3–1–2
Notaresco Calcio 1924
(6 last)
- Teramo2-2Notaresco Calcio 1924
- Teramo3-1Notaresco Calcio 1924
- Teramo1-0Notaresco Calcio 1924
- Notaresco Calcio 19240-2Teramo
- Teramo0-1Notaresco Calcio 1924
- Teramo1-2Notaresco Calcio 1924
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Teramo 1597 · Notaresco Calcio 1924 1475
| Teramo | Draw | Notaresco Calcio 1924 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teramo (rating 1597 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Teramo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Teramo | Notaresco Calcio 1924 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 71/14/14% | 43/14/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Teramo 3–1–2 Notaresco Calcio 1924
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Teramo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie D | Teramo | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
| 29/03/26 Italy Serie D | Teramo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie D | Notaresco Calcio 1924 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Teramo |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | Teramo | 0-1 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
| 27/04/25 Italy Serie D | Teramo | 1-2 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Teramo | Notaresco Calcio 1924 |
|---|---|---|
| San Marino Calcio | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Termoli | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| U.S. Ancona | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| AS Ostia Mare | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| L'Aquila | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Teramo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Teramo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 29/03 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/03 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Notaresco Calcio 1924
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/04 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Sammaurese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | ASD Sora Calcio 1907 Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio 1924?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Teramo win (56%). Probabilities: Teramo 56%, draw 25%, Notaresco Calcio 1924 19%.
How many goals are expected in Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio 1924?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Teramo 1.89 · Notaresco Calcio 1924 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio 1924?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.