Football · Japan Regional League · 13/09, 04:00

Prediction: Llamas Kochi FC vs R Velho Takamatsu

Team pages: Llamas Kochi FC · R Velho Takamatsu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Llamas Kochi FC1.85

R Velho Takamatsu1.7

1X2

41% 25% 35%

Llamas Kochi FC Draw R Velho Takamatsu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Llamas Kochi FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWDDLL

R Velho Takamatsu 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Llamas Kochi FC 2–3 R Velho Takamatsu (5 last)

R Velho Takamatsu0-3Llamas Kochi FC
R Velho Takamatsu3-5Llamas Kochi FC
Llamas Kochi FC1-2R Velho Takamatsu
R Velho Takamatsu3-2Llamas Kochi FC
Llamas Kochi FC0-1R Velho Takamatsu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Llamas Kochi FC 1455 · R Velho Takamatsu 1457

	Llamas Kochi FC	Draw	R Velho Takamatsu
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	40%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours R Velho Takamatsu: 3-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Llamas Kochi FC	R Velho Takamatsu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.9	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.38 ★
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.67
2	2.90 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 13.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:08 +40’	2.00	3.60	2.90
17:31 +16’	2.20▲	3.50▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +48’	2.38	3.67	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Llamas Kochi FC 2–0–3 R Velho Takamatsu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Japan Regional League	R Velho Takamatsu	0-3 HT 0-0	Llamas Kochi FC
24/08/25 Japan Regional League	R Velho Takamatsu	3-5 HT 0-1	Llamas Kochi FC
29/06/25 Japan Regional League	Llamas Kochi FC	1-2 HT 1-0	R Velho Takamatsu
29/09/24 Japan Regional League	R Velho Takamatsu	3-2 HT 1-0	Llamas Kochi FC
23/06/24 Japan Regional League	Llamas Kochi FC	0-1 HT 0-1	R Velho Takamatsu

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Llamas Kochi FC	R Velho Takamatsu
SONIO Takamatsu	0-9 L	0-10 L
Lavenirosso NC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Tadotsu FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
KUFC Nankoku	1-1 D	0-2 L
MSP Yashima FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Tokushima	1-2 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Llamas Kochi FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SONIO Takamatsu Japan Regional League	0-5	0-9	2	0	L
26/07	Lavenirosso NC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
12/07	Tadotsu FC Japan Regional League	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KUFC Nankoku Japan Regional League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
07/06	R Velho Takamatsu Japan Regional League	0-0	3-0	8	1	W
31/05	MSP Yashima FC Japan Regional League	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/05	SONIO Takamatsu Japan Regional League	0-3	1-9	1	2	L
19/04	FC Tokushima Japan Regional League	1-2	1-2	1	1	L
12/04	Tadotsu FC Japan Regional League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
05/04	Lavenirosso NC Japan Regional League	1-1	2-3	3	1	L

R Velho Takamatsu

WLLLDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Tokushima Japan Regional League	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
30/08	KUFC Nankoku Japan Regional League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
19/07	MSP Yashima FC Japan Regional League	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
12/07	SONIO Takamatsu Japan Regional League	0-2	0-10	2	2	L
05/07	Tadotsu FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
14/06	Lavenirosso NC Japan Regional League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
07/06	Llamas Kochi FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
31/05	FC Tokushima Japan Regional League	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
03/05	KUFC Nankoku Japan Regional League	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
19/04	MSP Yashima FC Japan Regional League	2-0	2-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Llamas Kochi FC vs R Velho Takamatsu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Llamas Kochi FC win (41%). Probabilities: Llamas Kochi FC 41%, draw 25%, R Velho Takamatsu 35%.

How many goals are expected in Llamas Kochi FC vs R Velho Takamatsu?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Llamas Kochi FC 1.85 · R Velho Takamatsu 1.7), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Llamas Kochi FC vs R Velho Takamatsu?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.