Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 20:30

Prediction: Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina FC

Team pages: Real Calepina FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Scanzorosciate1.41
Real Calepina FC1.19
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Scanzorosciate Draw Real Calepina FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Scanzorosciate 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLDLDW
Real Calepina FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDDLDW
Head-to-head
Scanzorosciate 0–3–1 Real Calepina FC (4 last)
  • Real Calepina FC1-1Scanzorosciate
  • Scanzorosciate1-2Real Calepina FC
  • Real Calepina FC1-1Scanzorosciate
  • Scanzorosciate0-0Real Calepina FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scanzorosciate 1511 · Real Calepina FC 1551
ScanzorosciateDrawReal Calepina FC
Our model41%29%30%
Market41%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Calepina FC (rating 1511 vs 1551).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ScanzorosciateReal Calepina FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.81.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 61.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Scanzorosciate 031 Real Calepina FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Italy Serie D
Real Calepina FC1-1
HT 1-0
Scanzorosciate
21/12/25
Italy Serie D
Scanzorosciate1-2Real Calepina FC
17/03/21
Italy Serie D
Real Calepina FC1-1
HT 0-1
Scanzorosciate
04/10/20
Italy Serie D
Scanzorosciate0-0Real Calepina FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentScanzorosciateReal Calepina FC
Oltrepò 3-0 W 0-1 L
US Breno 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Scanzorosciate (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scanzorosciate

DWWWWLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
3-0 W
03/05 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 73 D
26/04 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
19/04 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 43 L
29/03 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 74 W
22/03 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
3-0 W
15/03 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
3-1 6-1 81 W
01/03 US Breno
Italy Serie D
3-0 W
22/02 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 43 D

Real Calepina FC

WWLLWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
3-1 5-1 01 W
03/05 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 63 D
26/04 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
1-5 L
19/04 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 23 D
12/04 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 42 D
08/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/04 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 43 L
22/03 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 95 L
15/03 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
01/03 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scanzorosciate win (41%). Probabilities: Scanzorosciate 41%, draw 29%, Real Calepina FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina FC?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Scanzorosciate 1.41 · Real Calepina FC 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.