Prediction: Citta di Varese vs Pro Sesto
Team pages: Citta di Varese · Pro Sesto
- Pro Sesto1-2Citta di Varese
| Citta di Varese | Draw | Pro Sesto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Citta di Varese (rating 1551 vs 1455).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Citta di Varese | Pro Sesto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/17/50% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Citta di Varese 1–0–0 Pro Sesto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/23 Europe Friendlies | Pro Sesto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Citta di Varese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Citta di Varese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lavagnese Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Pro Sesto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Imolese Italy Serie D |
1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Sangiuliano City FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/03 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Citta di Varese vs Pro Sesto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Citta di Varese win (39%). Probabilities: Citta di Varese 39%, draw 29%, Pro Sesto 32%.
How many goals are expected in Citta di Varese vs Pro Sesto?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Citta di Varese 1.37 · Pro Sesto 1.24), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Citta di Varese vs Pro Sesto?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.