Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: FC Forsempronese vs L'Aquila
Team pages: FC Forsempronese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
FC Forsempronese1.1
L'Aquila1.16
1X2
FC Forsempronese
Draw
L'Aquila
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Forsempronese
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
L'Aquila
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Forsempronese
3–1–2
L'Aquila
(6 last)
- FC Forsempronese1-0L'Aquila
- L'Aquila3-0FC Forsempronese
- L'Aquila0-1FC Forsempronese
- FC Forsempronese0-0L'Aquila
- L'Aquila2-3FC Forsempronese
- L'Aquila2-0FC Forsempronese
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Forsempronese 1485 · L'Aquila 1500
| FC Forsempronese | Draw | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Forsempronese: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Forsempronese | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Forsempronese 3–1–2 L'Aquila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Italy Serie D | FC Forsempronese | 1-0 | L'Aquila |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie D | L'Aquila | 3-0 | FC Forsempronese |
| 11/05/25 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | L'Aquila | 0-1 | FC Forsempronese |
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie D | FC Forsempronese | 0-0 | L'Aquila |
| 03/11/24 Italy Serie D | L'Aquila | 2-3 | FC Forsempronese |
| 24/03/24 Italy Serie D | L'Aquila | 2-0 | FC Forsempronese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Forsempronese | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Ancona | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Termoli | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sammaurese | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Notaresco Calcio 1924 | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Forsempronese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Castelfidardo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | Sammaurese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
L'Aquila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Sammaurese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/03 | ASD Sora Calcio 1907 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Forsempronese vs L'Aquila?
According to our model, the most likely result is an L'Aquila win (37%). Probabilities: FC Forsempronese 33%, draw 30%, L'Aquila 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Forsempronese vs L'Aquila?
The model expects 2.26 goals (FC Forsempronese 1.1 · L'Aquila 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Forsempronese vs L'Aquila?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.