Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Aquila 1902 Montevarchi vs ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

Team pages: ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi1.02
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio1.01
1X2
35% 31% 34%
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Draw ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDDWLL
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDLWDWWW
Head-to-head
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 2–1–1 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio (4 last)
  • Aquila 1902 Montevarchi2-0ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
  • ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio3-0Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
  • Aquila 1902 Montevarchi3-2ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
  • ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio0-0Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 1488 · ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1489
Aquila 1902 MontevarchiDrawASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Our model34%33%33%
Market36%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Aquila 1902 Montevarchi: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aquila 1902 MontevarchiASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.61.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.20.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.73.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.33.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 211 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Italy Serie D
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi2-0ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
02/11/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio3-0
HT 1-0
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
14/01/24
Italy Serie D
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi3-2
HT 2-0
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
17/09/23
Italy Serie D
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio0-0
HT 0-0
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAquila 1902 MontevarchiASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
ASD Terranuova Traiana 1-1 D 3-2 W
Poggibonsi 1-1 D 0-0 D
Gavorrano 0-0 D 2-1 W
Scandicci 1-1 D 3-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

DWDDDDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Lucchese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 25 L
03/05 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 53 L
26/04 Ghiviborgo
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
02/04 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
28/03 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 34 D
22/03 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 73 D
15/03 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
01/03 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 61 D

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

LLWDLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 82 W
03/05 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
26/04 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
3-2 W
19/04 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 ASD Cannara
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 104 W
02/04 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
2-2 3-4 62 L
28/03 Camaiore
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 38 D
22/03 Orvietana
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 62 W
15/03 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
01/03 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aquila 1902 Montevarchi vs ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aquila 1902 Montevarchi win (35%). Probabilities: Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 35%, draw 31%, ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 34%.

How many goals are expected in Aquila 1902 Montevarchi vs ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 1.02 · ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1.01), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aquila 1902 Montevarchi vs ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.