Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: SCD Progresso Calcio vs Scandicci

Team pages: SCD Progresso Calcio · Scandicci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
SCD Progresso Calcio1.34
Scandicci1.1
1X2
41% 29% 30%
SCD Progresso Calcio Draw Scandicci
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SCD Progresso Calcio 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDWDWL
Scandicci 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDWWDLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SCD Progresso Calcio 1491 · Scandicci 1510
SCD Progresso CalcioDrawScandicci
Our model41%30%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SCD Progresso CalcioScandicci
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%17/67/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.91.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.33.2 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SCD Progresso Calcio

LLLLWDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 32 L
03/05 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
4-1 W
26/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
19/04 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 44 W
12/04 Correggese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 65 D
02/04 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 92 W
28/03 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 12 L
22/03 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-3 54 L
15/03 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 95 L
28/02 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 28 L

Scandicci

DDWDWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 33 D
03/05 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
26/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 56 L
19/04 ASD Cannara
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
12/04 Orvietana
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
02/04 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
2-2 4-3 52 W
28/03 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 42 D
22/03 Camaiore
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
15/03 Grosseto
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 05 D
01/03 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 31 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Scandicci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SCD Progresso Calcio win (41%). Probabilities: SCD Progresso Calcio 41%, draw 29%, Scandicci 30%.

How many goals are expected in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Scandicci?

The model expects 2.44 goals (SCD Progresso Calcio 1.34 · Scandicci 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Scandicci?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.