Prediction: Nexus Miyakonojo vs Nippon Steel Oita
Team pages: Nippon Steel Oita
- Nippon Steel Oita0-1Nexus Miyakonojo
| Nexus Miyakonojo | Draw | Nippon Steel Oita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nexus Miyakonojo (rating 1463 vs 1418).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nexus Miyakonojo | Nippon Steel Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 0.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.1 | 0.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nexus Miyakonojo 1–0–0 Nippon Steel Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Japan Regional League | Nippon Steel Oita | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nexus Miyakonojo |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nexus Miyakonojo | Nippon Steel Oita |
|---|---|---|
| CA Celeste | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Nobeoka Agata | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| MHI Nagasaki | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Kawasoe Club | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| NIFS Kanoya FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Veroskronos Tsuno | 1-7 L | 0-5 L |
| KMG Holdings | 1-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Brew Saga | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nippon Steel Oita (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nexus Miyakonojo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-4 | 1-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
Nippon Steel Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nexus Miyakonojo vs Nippon Steel Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nexus Miyakonojo win (52%). Probabilities: Nexus Miyakonojo 52%, draw 23%, Nippon Steel Oita 24%.
How many goals are expected in Nexus Miyakonojo vs Nippon Steel Oita?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Nexus Miyakonojo 1.9 · Nippon Steel Oita 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nexus Miyakonojo vs Nippon Steel Oita?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.