Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski vs TP-47

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski · TP-47

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

FC Vaajakoski2.14

TP-471.66

1X2

49% 22% 30%

FC Vaajakoski Draw TP-47

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vaajakoski 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWDLWL

TP-47 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

FC Vaajakoski 3–1 TP-47 (4 last)

TP-474-2FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski3-2TP-47
FC Vaajakoski2-0TP-47
TP-470-1FC Vaajakoski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski 1498 · TP-47 1461

	FC Vaajakoski	Draw	TP-47
Our model	48%	22%	29%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Vaajakoski: 3-0-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vaajakoski	TP-47
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +8’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski 3–0–1 TP-47

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	4-2 HT 2-2	FC Vaajakoski
14/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	3-2 HT 2-1	TP-47
07/10/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	2-0 HT 0-0	TP-47
22/07/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vaajakoski

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	20	7	5	8	31	37	26
2	FC Vaajakoski	20	7	3	10	37	46	24
3	JS Hercules	20	7	3	10	32	44	24
4	SJK Akatemia II	20	6	4	10	30	45	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vaajakoski	TP-47
SJK Akatemia II	1-2 L	3-1 W
JS Hercules	2-0 W	0-1 L
GBK	1-1 D	3-4 L
JBK	0-4 L	0-4 L
Narpes Kraft	3-2 W	2-1 W
Huima/Urho	0-1 L	0-4 L
FF Jaro II	5-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vaajakoski (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vaajakoski

DWLWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
06/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
22/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
15/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
08/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	4	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D

TP-47

LDLLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
22/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	4-2	9	5	W
16/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-4	7	7	L
08/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
01/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
18/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
12/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
04/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski vs TP-47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vaajakoski win (49%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski 49%, draw 22%, TP-47 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski vs TP-47?

The model expects 3.8 goals (FC Vaajakoski 2.14 · TP-47 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski vs TP-47?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.