Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II

Team pages: JS Hercules · SJK Akatemia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

JS Hercules2.19

SJK Akatemia II1.65

1X2

50% 22% 29%

JS Hercules Draw SJK Akatemia II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JS Hercules 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLDLWLW

SJK Akatemia II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDLLW

Head-to-head

JS Hercules 1–2–3 SJK Akatemia II (6 last)

JS Hercules2-2SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II3-0JS Hercules
JS Hercules0-6SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II2-4JS Hercules
SJK Akatemia II4-4JS Hercules
JS Hercules2-4SJK Akatemia II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Hercules 1503 · SJK Akatemia II 1464

	JS Hercules	Draw	SJK Akatemia II
Our model	49%	22%	29%
Market	50%	21%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK Akatemia II: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JS Hercules	SJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +32’	1.80	4.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Hercules 1–2–3 SJK Akatemia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-2 HT 1-1	SJK Akatemia II
27/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-0 HT 2-0	JS Hercules
19/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	0-6 HT 0-1	SJK Akatemia II
18/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	2-4 HT 1-1	JS Hercules
04/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	4-4 HT 3-4	JS Hercules
27/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-4 HT 1-2	SJK Akatemia II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	20	7	5	8	31	37	26
2	FC Vaajakoski	20	7	3	10	37	46	24
3	JS Hercules	20	7	3	10	32	44	24
4	SJK Akatemia II	20	6	4	10	30	45	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JS Hercules	SJK Akatemia II
TP-47	1-0 W	1-3 L
FC Vaajakoski	0-2 L	2-1 W
FF Jaro II	3-1 W	3-2 W
VPS-J	1-3 L	2-6 L
Narpes Kraft	2-3 L	2-2 D
JBK	5-3 W	0-1 L
Huima/Urho	0-0 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JS Hercules (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Hercules

DDWWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
22/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
15/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
09/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
23/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-3	4	3	W
11/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
04/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	1	2	D

SJK Akatemia II

WDLLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
06/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JS Hercules win (50%). Probabilities: JS Hercules 50%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia II 29%.

How many goals are expected in JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 3.84 goals (JS Hercules 2.19 · SJK Akatemia II 1.65), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.