Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: JBK vs FF Jaro II

Team pages: JBK · FF Jaro II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.49Total

JBK3.25

FF Jaro II1.25

1X2

83% 10% 7%

JBK Draw FF Jaro II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

JBK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWDLW

FF Jaro II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

JBK 1–1 FF Jaro II (2 last)

FF Jaro II1-3JBK
JBK0-3FF Jaro II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JBK 1554 · FF Jaro II 1411

	JBK	Draw	FF Jaro II
Our model	76%	14%	11%
Market	88%	7%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JBK (rating 1554 vs 1411).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JBK	FF Jaro II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.6	1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.06

X13.00

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.93

Under 4.751.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +13’	1.06	13.00	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JBK 1–0–1 FF Jaro II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FF Jaro II	1-3 HT 1-2	JBK
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	0-3 HT 0-2	FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	22	14	4	4	67	27	46
2	GBK	22	12	3	7	57	41	39
3	JBK	22	12	2	8	45	29	38
4	VPS-J	22	9	4	9	58	48	31
5	Narpes Kraft	22	8	2	12	52	61	26
6	FF Jaro II	22	8	2	12	37	68	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JBK	FF Jaro II
VPS-J	2-1 W	1-4 L
GBK	0-3 L	2-2 D
Huima/Urho	1-1 D	0-6 L
Narpes Kraft	5-0 W	1-2 L
TP-47	4-0 W	2-0 W
JS Hercules	3-5 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JBK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JBK

LWWWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-1	11	4	W
06/09	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	12	6	L
02/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	11	7	D
28/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
22/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
16/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-0	7	7	W
07/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
01/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L

FF Jaro II

WDLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-5	0-6	5	1	L
06/09	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
02/09	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-2	10	8	L
28/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
22/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
15/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	1	2	L
07/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	2	5	L
03/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	3	0	L
22/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JBK vs FF Jaro II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JBK win (83%). Probabilities: JBK 83%, draw 10%, FF Jaro II 7%.

How many goals are expected in JBK vs FF Jaro II?

The model expects 4.49 goals (JBK 3.25 · FF Jaro II 1.25), with a 55% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JBK vs FF Jaro II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.