Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Narpes Kraft vs VPS-J

Team pages: Narpes Kraft · VPS-J

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.6Total

Narpes Kraft2.02

VPS-J2.58

1X2

30% 20% 50%

Narpes Kraft Draw VPS-J

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Narpes Kraft 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLWLL

VPS-J 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Narpes Kraft 2–2–2 VPS-J (6 last)

Narpes Kraft3-2VPS-J
VPS-J2-2Narpes Kraft
VPS-J4-0Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft2-2VPS-J
VPS-J7-0Narpes Kraft
VPS-J1-2Narpes Kraft

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Narpes Kraft 1447 · VPS-J 1501

	Narpes Kraft	Draw	VPS-J
Our model	30%	20%	50%
Market	30%	20%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 4.6 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VPS-J (rating 1447 vs 1501).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Narpes Kraft	VPS-J
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.4	2.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.50

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:20 +7’	3.00	4.50	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Narpes Kraft 2–2–2 VPS-J

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	3-2 HT 2-0	VPS-J
03/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	2-2 HT 0-0	Narpes Kraft
16/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	4-0 HT 2-0	Narpes Kraft
12/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-2 HT 1-1	VPS-J
05/04/25 Europe Friendlies	VPS-J	7-0 HT 3-0	Narpes Kraft
06/07/20 Finland Kolmonen	VPS-J	1-2 HT 0-1	Narpes Kraft

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	22	14	4	4	67	27	46
2	GBK	22	12	3	7	57	41	39
3	JBK	22	12	2	8	45	29	38
4	VPS-J	22	9	4	9	58	48	31
5	Narpes Kraft	22	8	2	12	52	61	26
6	FF Jaro II	22	8	2	12	37	68	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Narpes Kraft	VPS-J
GBK	0-5 L	6-4 W
Huima/Urho	0-5 L	0-5 L
FF Jaro II	2-1 W	4-1 W
JBK	0-5 L	1-2 L
SJK Akatemia II	2-2 D	6-2 W
JS Hercules	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VPS-J (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Narpes Kraft

LLWLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-4	0-5	5	2	L
06/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	4	2	L
02/09	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
28/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
22/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
16/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	7	D
08/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L

VPS-J

WLWLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	1-2	0	4	L
06/09	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-1	10	3	W
02/09	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	6-4	9	1	W
29/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	7	L
22/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-4	8	3	L
15/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
08/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
03/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
25/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
19/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	6-2	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Narpes Kraft vs VPS-J?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VPS-J win (50%). Probabilities: Narpes Kraft 30%, draw 20%, VPS-J 50%.

How many goals are expected in Narpes Kraft vs VPS-J?

The model expects 4.6 goals (Narpes Kraft 2.02 · VPS-J 2.58), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Narpes Kraft vs VPS-J?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.