Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/09, 21:30
Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Tristan Suarez
Team pages: Ferrocarril Midland · Tristan Suarez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Ferrocarril Midland1.17
Tristan Suarez0.92
1X2
Ferrocarril Midland
Draw
Tristan Suarez
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferrocarril Midland
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Tristan Suarez
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferrocarril Midland
1–0
Tristan Suarez
(1 last)
- Tristan Suarez1-3Ferrocarril Midland
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferrocarril Midland 1542 · Tristan Suarez 1533
| Ferrocarril Midland | Draw | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 33% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferrocarril Midland | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 1–0–0 Tristan Suarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 53 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin SJ | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 41 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 31 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 48 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferrocarril Midland | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin SJ | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Nueva Chicago | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferrocarril Midland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Tristan Suarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (40%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 40%, draw 33%, Tristan Suarez 27%.
How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.17 · Tristan Suarez 0.92), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.