Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Puiu vs MyPa

Team pages: Puiu · MyPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Puiu2.31

MyPa1.56

1X2

54% 21% 25%

Puiu Draw MyPa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Puiu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDLLLD

MyPa 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLWWL

Head-to-head

Puiu 2–1–2 MyPa (5 last)

MyPa2-1Puiu
Puiu1-1MyPa
Puiu6-1MyPa
Puiu2-0MyPa
MyPa4-0Puiu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puiu 1463 · MyPa 1465

	Puiu	Draw	MyPa
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puiu	MyPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	5.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +10’	1.67	4.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puiu 2–1–2 MyPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	2-1 HT 1-1	Puiu
13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	1-1 HT 1-0	MyPa
30/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	6-1 HT 4-0	MyPa
12/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	2-0 HT 0-0	MyPa
11/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	4-0 HT 3-0	Puiu

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reipas	20	7	3	10	36	40	24
2	Union Plaani	20	6	2	12	26	46	20
3	MyPa	20	5	3	12	27	43	18
4	Puiu	20	4	5	11	28	42	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puiu	MyPa
Reipas	0-0 D	5-1 W
Union Plaani	2-4 L	2-3 L
Kiffen	1-3 L	0-0 D
HIFK 2	2-2 D	0-4 L
PEPO	2-3 L	1-4 L
PPJ	4-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puiu

LWWLDDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
06/09	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-4	5	2	L
22/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
08/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	3	9	D
01/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-2	0	8	D
24/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
11/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
04/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	4	L

MyPa

LWLLDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
04/09	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-1	8	3	W
22/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
07/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
01/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
18/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-5	7	5	L
11/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-4	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puiu vs MyPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puiu win (54%). Probabilities: Puiu 54%, draw 21%, MyPa 25%.

How many goals are expected in Puiu vs MyPa?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Puiu 2.31 · MyPa 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Puiu vs MyPa?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.