Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Atlantis vs HPS

Team pages: Atlantis · HPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

Atlantis2.87

HPS1.66

1X2

62% 18% 20%

Atlantis Draw HPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWLDLW

HPS 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLDLD

Head-to-head

Atlantis 3–2–1 HPS (6 last)

Atlantis5-3HPS
HPS4-3Atlantis
HPS0-6Atlantis
HPS2-2Atlantis
Atlantis2-2HPS
HPS1-3Atlantis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis 1548 · HPS 1459

	Atlantis	Draw	HPS
Our model	62%	18%	20%
Market	62%	18%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis (rating 1548 vs 1459).
H2H favours Atlantis: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis	HPS
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 2.1	2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.44

X5.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 5.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:23 +4’	1.44	5.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis 3–2–1 HPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	5-3 HT 3-1	HPS
16/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HPS	4-3 HT 4-1	Atlantis
16/05/23 Finland Cup	HPS	0-6 HT 0-3	Atlantis
12/04/22 Finland Cup	HPS	2-2 HT 2-1	Atlantis
23/08/19 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis	2-2 HT 2-1	HPS
24/05/19 Finland Kolmonen	HPS	1-3 HT 0-1	Atlantis

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	22	15	3	4	47	30	48
2	PEPO	22	12	7	3	40	26	43
3	Atlantis	22	11	3	8	67	49	36
4	HIFK 2	22	8	7	7	43	38	31
5	PPJ	22	7	9	6	43	37	30
6	HPS	22	7	6	9	43	49	27

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis	HPS
PPJ	3-1 W	1-4 L
Kiffen	1-2 L	1-2 L
PEPO	0-0 D	1-1 D
HIFK 2	1-2 L	1-1 D
Union Plaani	6-3 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis

WWDWWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	3-1	11	4	W
08/09	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
03/09	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
28/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	6-3	4	4	W
15/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
07/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W

HPS

WLDDLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
08/09	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-4	7	9	L
03/09	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
30/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-5	1	3	L
15/08	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-3	7	7	L
07/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
01/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	5-5	6	13	D
25/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	3-5	12	3	L
18/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	5-2	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis vs HPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis win (62%). Probabilities: Atlantis 62%, draw 18%, HPS 20%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis vs HPS?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Atlantis 2.87 · HPS 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis vs HPS?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.