Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 30/09, 23:00

Prediction: Deportivo Iztapa vs Juventud Copalera

Team pages: Deportivo Iztapa · Juventud Copalera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Deportivo Iztapa1.94

Juventud Copalera0.79

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Deportivo Iztapa Draw Juventud Copalera

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Iztapa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDWLDL

Juventud Copalera 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Iztapa 1–1–1 Juventud Copalera (3 last)

Juventud Copalera1-1Deportivo Iztapa
Deportivo Iztapa5-1Juventud Copalera
Juventud Copalera4-3Deportivo Iztapa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Iztapa 1498 · Juventud Copalera 1488

	Deportivo Iztapa	Draw	Juventud Copalera
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	64%	23%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Iztapa	Juventud Copalera
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	6 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.90

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 22:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.40▼	Pinn 1.45 ★
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	5.50 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 14.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +10’	1.48	3.80	5.50
17:14 +6’	1.38▼	4.00▲	6.50▲
18:30 +7’	1.67▲	3.30▼	4.50▼
20:20 +5’	1.50▼	3.60▲	5.50▲
22:08 +5’	1.40▼	3.90▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +45’	1.40	4.13	5.93
18:33 +4’	1.64▲	3.22▼	4.28▼
19:02 +83’	1.55▼	3.37▲	4.69▲
22:01 +12’	1.45▼	3.71▲	5.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Iztapa 1–1–1 Juventud Copalera

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Juventud Copalera	1-1	Deportivo Iztapa
22/03/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Iztapa	5-1 HT 1-0	Juventud Copalera
10/09/23 Guatemala Primera Division	Juventud Copalera	4-3 HT 1-2	Deportivo Iztapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguacatan FC	12	7	3	2	23	11	24
2	Huehuetecos FC	12	7	1	4	22	10	22
3	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	12	5	4	3	15	11	19
4	Deportivo Iztapa	12	5	4	3	17	15	19
5	Quiche FC	12	5	3	4	10	12	18
6	Juventud Copalera	12	5	2	5	14	14	17
7	Deportivo Gomerano	12	4	2	6	11	15	14
8	Chichicasteco FC	11	3	3	5	14	19	12
9	Coatepeque FC	11	3	2	6	10	15	11
10	CSD Amatitlan	12	3	0	9	9	23	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Iztapa	Juventud Copalera
Chichicasteco FC	1-3 L	3-2 W
Aguacatan FC	2-2 D	2-3 L
Huehuetecos FC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Gomerano	1-0 W	0-1 L
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	1-1 D	0-1 L
Coatepeque FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
CSD Amatitlan	2-0 W	0-3 L
Quiche FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Iztapa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Iztapa

DDLWWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
16/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
12/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/08	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	2-1	3-3	8	4	D

Juventud Copalera

LDLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	11	L
13/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
30/08	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
23/08	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Iztapa vs Juventud Copalera?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Iztapa win (63%). Probabilities: Deportivo Iztapa 63%, draw 23%, Juventud Copalera 14%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Iztapa vs Juventud Copalera?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Deportivo Iztapa 1.94 · Juventud Copalera 0.79), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Iztapa vs Juventud Copalera?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.