Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 08/10, 03:00

Prediction: CSD Chiquimulilla vs Champs Academy

Team pages: CSD Chiquimulilla · Champs Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

CSD Chiquimulilla1.8

Champs Academy0.69

1X2

64% 23% 14%

CSD Chiquimulilla Draw Champs Academy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Chiquimulilla 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLL

Champs Academy 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLWDL

Head-to-head

CSD Chiquimulilla 1–0 Champs Academy (1 last)

Champs Academy0-2CSD Chiquimulilla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Chiquimulilla 1428 · Champs Academy 1431

	CSD Chiquimulilla	Draw	Champs Academy
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	65%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 14.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Chiquimulilla	Champs Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.7	7.3 / 2.3

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.20

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +8’	1.38	4.20	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Chiquimulilla 1–0–0 Champs Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Champs Academy	0-2 HT 0-0	CSD Chiquimulilla

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	14	10	0	4	22	18	30
2	Mictlán	12	8	3	1	25	11	27
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	13	8	2	3	25	10	26
4	San Benito FC	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
5	CSD Sayaxche	14	5	4	5	15	12	19
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	13	5	2	6	23	21	17
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	13	5	1	7	14	14	16
8	CD Achuapa	13	4	2	7	8	16	14
9	AFF Guatemala	13	4	0	9	8	23	12
10	Champs Academy	13	1	2	10	6	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Chiquimulilla	Champs Academy
Mictlán	1-3 L	0-1 L
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	0-2 L	0-3 L
San Benito FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
AFF Guatemala	0-1 L	2-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	0-1 L	0-1 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	1-2 L	0-1 L
CD Achuapa	0-1 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Fraijanes	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Champs Academy (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Chiquimulilla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	1-3	2	9	L
01/10	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
27/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	12	L
30/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
23/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
20/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	12	8	W
16/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	5	4	L

Champs Academy

LLLLDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
01/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	12	W
20/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	1-3	3	9	L
23/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
15/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Champs Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Chiquimulilla win (64%). Probabilities: CSD Chiquimulilla 64%, draw 23%, Champs Academy 14%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Champs Academy?

The model expects 2.48 goals (CSD Chiquimulilla 1.8 · Champs Academy 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Chiquimulilla vs Champs Academy?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.