Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 07/10, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Iztapa vs CSD Amatitlan
Team pages: Deportivo Iztapa · CSD Amatitlan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Deportivo Iztapa2.01
CSD Amatitlan0.77
1X2
Deportivo Iztapa
Draw
CSD Amatitlan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Iztapa
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
CSD Amatitlan
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Iztapa
1–0
CSD Amatitlan
(1 last)
- CSD Amatitlan0-2Deportivo Iztapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Iztapa 1470 · CSD Amatitlan 1445
| Deportivo Iztapa | Draw | CSD Amatitlan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Iztapa | CSD Amatitlan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Iztapa 1–0–0 CSD Amatitlan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Amatitlan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Iztapa |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huehuetecos FC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Aguacatan FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Quiche FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Juventud Copalera | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Deportivo Iztapa | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Deportivo Gomerano | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | Coatepeque FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Chichicasteco FC | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Amatitlan | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Iztapa | CSD Amatitlan |
|---|---|---|
| Quiche FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Juventud Copalera | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Chichicasteco FC | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Aguacatan FC | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Huehuetecos FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Gomerano | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Coatepeque FC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Iztapa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/09 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/08 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
CSD Amatitlan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/09 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Iztapa vs CSD Amatitlan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Iztapa win (65%). Probabilities: Deportivo Iztapa 65%, draw 22%, CSD Amatitlan 13%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Iztapa vs CSD Amatitlan?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Deportivo Iztapa 2.01 · CSD Amatitlan 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Iztapa vs CSD Amatitlan?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.