Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 08/10, 04:00
Prediction: CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Deportivo Fraijanes
Team pages: CS Deportivo Sacachispas · Deportivo Fraijanes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
CS Deportivo Sacachispas2.31
Deportivo Fraijanes0.82
1X2
CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Draw
Deportivo Fraijanes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Deportivo Sacachispas
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Fraijanes
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Deportivo Sacachispas
3–1–0
Deportivo Fraijanes
(4 last)
- Deportivo Fraijanes2-3CS Deportivo Sacachispas
- CS Deportivo Sacachispas4-1Deportivo Fraijanes
- Deportivo Fraijanes0-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
- Deportivo Fraijanes0-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1555 · Deportivo Fraijanes 1501
| CS Deportivo Sacachispas | Draw | Deportivo Fraijanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas (rating 1555 vs 1501).
- H2H favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Deportivo Sacachispas | Deportivo Fraijanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 38/50/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6 | 3.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 3–1–0 Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo Fraijanes | 2-3 HT 2-2 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas |
| 02/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Fraijanes |
| 13/01/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo Fraijanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas |
| 10/09/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo Fraijanes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mictlán | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | San Benito FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 6 | CSD Sayaxche | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | CD Achuapa | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 9 | AFF Guatemala | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | Deportivo Fraijanes |
|---|---|---|
| Champs Academy | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| CSD Chiquimulilla | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Mictlán | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| San Benito FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| AFF Guatemala | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CSD Sayaxche | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Achuapa | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CS Deportivo Sacachispas (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Deportivo Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/10 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/08 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/09 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 18 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/08 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (70%). Probabilities: CS Deportivo Sacachispas 70%, draw 20%, Deportivo Fraijanes 11%.
How many goals are expected in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
The model expects 3.13 goals (CS Deportivo Sacachispas 2.31 · Deportivo Fraijanes 0.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.