Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 11/10, 19:00

Prediction: CSD Amatitlan vs Deportivo Gomerano

Team pages: CSD Amatitlan · Deportivo Gomerano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

CSD Amatitlan1.26

Deportivo Gomerano1.18

1X2

38% 29% 34%

CSD Amatitlan Draw Deportivo Gomerano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Amatitlan 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLWLL

Deportivo Gomerano 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLWLDW

Head-to-head

CSD Amatitlan 0–1 Deportivo Gomerano (1 last)

Deportivo Gomerano3-0CSD Amatitlan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Amatitlan 1448 · Deportivo Gomerano 1503

	CSD Amatitlan	Draw	Deportivo Gomerano
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Gomerano (rating 1448 vs 1503).
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Amatitlan	Deportivo Gomerano
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 1.4	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:52 +7’	2.35	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Amatitlan 0–0–1 Deportivo Gomerano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Gomerano	3-0	CSD Amatitlan

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguacatan FC	14	8	3	3	27	13	27
2	Huehuetecos FC	15	8	3	4	25	11	27
3	Juventud Copalera	15	6	4	5	20	18	22
4	Deportivo Iztapa	15	6	4	5	23	22	22
5	Deportivo Gomerano	15	6	3	6	18	17	21
6	Quiche FC	15	6	3	6	11	15	21
7	Coatepeque FC	14	6	2	6	15	15	20
8	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	14	5	4	5	15	14	19
9	Chichicasteco FC	14	3	4	7	15	27	13
10	CSD Amatitlan	15	4	0	11	13	30	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Amatitlan	Deportivo Gomerano
Deportivo Iztapa	2-4 L	0-1 L
Coatepeque FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	2-0 W	0-3 L
Quiche FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Juventud Copalera	3-0 W	2-2 D
Aguacatan FC	0-5 L	0-1 L
Huehuetecos FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Gomerano (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Amatitlan

LLLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	2-4	5	6	L
04/10	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
30/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
27/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	4	11	W
14/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
30/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L

Deportivo Gomerano

WDWLLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
04/10	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
23/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
19/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Amatitlan vs Deportivo Gomerano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Amatitlan win (38%). Probabilities: CSD Amatitlan 38%, draw 29%, Deportivo Gomerano 34%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Amatitlan vs Deportivo Gomerano?

The model expects 2.43 goals (CSD Amatitlan 1.26 · Deportivo Gomerano 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Amatitlan vs Deportivo Gomerano?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.