Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 19/10, 02:00

Prediction: CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Team pages: CS Deportivo Sacachispas · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.62

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF0.82

1X2

56% 26% 18%

CS Deportivo Sacachispas Draw Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–1–4 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (6 last)

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF2-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF2-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-1Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas3-2Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF2-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1551 · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1604

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Draw	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Our model	55%	27%	18%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (rating 1551 vs 1604).
H2H favours Nueva Santa Rosa CDF: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5.8	3.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.8	6.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.66 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +7’	1.60	3.60	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +81’	1.80	2.54	5.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–1–4 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	2-1 HT 2-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
11/03/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	2-0 HT 2-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
30/01/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-1 HT 0-1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
09/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
07/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	3-2 HT 1-1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
13/09/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	2-1 HT 0-1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	16	12	0	4	26	18	36
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	16	11	2	3	33	12	35
3	Mictlán	15	10	3	2	32	14	33
4	Deportivo Fraijanes	17	8	2	7	29	25	26
5	San Benito FC	16	8	2	6	27	23	26
6	CSD Sayaxche	17	7	4	6	22	17	25
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	17	6	2	9	19	20	20
8	CD Achuapa	17	5	3	9	13	22	18
9	AFF Guatemala	16	4	0	12	9	29	12
10	Champs Academy	17	1	2	14	7	37	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
CD Achuapa	2-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Fraijanes	3-1 W	2-1 W
Champs Academy	3-0 W	1-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-0 W	2-1 W
Mictlán	1-1 D	4-3 W
San Benito FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
AFF Guatemala	3-0 W	2-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CS Deportivo Sacachispas (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-1	6	11	W
08/10	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
04/10	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	3-0	11	4	W
06/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
30/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
24/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
07/10	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
04/10	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	12	4	W
01/10	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	3-1	4-3	4	12	W
27/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-1	2	12	W
30/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
23/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (56%). Probabilities: CS Deportivo Sacachispas 56%, draw 26%, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 18%.

How many goals are expected in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

The model expects 2.44 goals (CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1.62 · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.