Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 11/10, 23:00

Prediction: CD Achuapa vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Team pages: CD Achuapa · CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

CD Achuapa0.83

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.26

1X2

24% 30% 46%

CD Achuapa Draw CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Achuapa 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLDWL

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDWWW

Head-to-head

CD Achuapa 2–1–3 CS Deportivo Sacachispas (6 last)

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-0CD Achuapa
CD Achuapa2-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-0CD Achuapa
CD Achuapa1-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-3CD Achuapa
CS Deportivo Sacachispas2-0CD Achuapa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Achuapa 1468 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1558

	CD Achuapa	Draw	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Our model	23%	32%	45%
Market	25%	28%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas (rating 1468 vs 1558).
H2H favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Achuapa	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	3.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.20

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +10’	3.10	3.10	2.10
23:12 +6’	3.60▲	3.20▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Achuapa 2–1–3 CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-0	CD Achuapa
13/03/21 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CD Achuapa	2-1 HT 1-1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
21/02/21 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Achuapa
04/10/20 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CD Achuapa	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
29/08/20 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-3 HT 0-2	CD Achuapa
27/02/20 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2-0 HT 1-0	CD Achuapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	15	11	0	4	24	18	33
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	15	10	2	3	31	11	32
3	Mictlán	14	9	3	2	29	14	30
4	San Benito FC	14	7	2	5	24	19	23
5	CSD Sayaxche	15	6	4	5	17	13	22
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	15	6	1	8	17	17	19
8	CD Achuapa	15	5	2	8	10	18	17
9	AFF Guatemala	15	4	0	11	8	26	12
10	Champs Academy	15	1	2	12	6	31	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Achuapa	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
San Benito FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
AFF Guatemala	1-0 W	3-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	1-1 D	1-0 W
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	0-1 L	1-2 L
Mictlán	1-4 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Fraijanes	0-3 L	3-1 W
Champs Academy	0-0 D	3-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CS Deportivo Sacachispas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Achuapa

WLWDLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
30/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-4	5	8	L
13/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	0-3	6	7	L
05/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
24/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

WWLWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
04/10	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	3-0	11	4	W
06/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
30/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
24/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-2	3-2	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Achuapa vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (46%). Probabilities: CD Achuapa 24%, draw 30%, CS Deportivo Sacachispas 46%.

How many goals are expected in CD Achuapa vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model expects 2.09 goals (CD Achuapa 0.83 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Achuapa vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.