Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 11/10, 20:00

Prediction: Coatepeque FC vs Deportivo Iztapa

Team pages: Coatepeque FC · Deportivo Iztapa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Coatepeque FC1.74

Deportivo Iztapa0.97

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Coatepeque FC Draw Deportivo Iztapa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Coatepeque FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLWWW

Deportivo Iztapa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Coatepeque FC 1–2 Deportivo Iztapa (3 last)

Deportivo Iztapa2-0Coatepeque FC
Coatepeque FC1-2Deportivo Iztapa
Coatepeque FC2-1Deportivo Iztapa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coatepeque FC 1511 · Deportivo Iztapa 1493

	Coatepeque FC	Draw	Deportivo Iztapa
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Iztapa: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coatepeque FC	Deportivo Iztapa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 5.5	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	5 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +39’	1.65	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Coatepeque FC 1–0–2 Deportivo Iztapa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Iztapa	2-0	Coatepeque FC
02/03/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Iztapa
28/07/24 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Iztapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguacatan FC	14	8	3	3	27	13	27
2	Huehuetecos FC	15	8	3	4	25	11	27
3	Juventud Copalera	15	6	4	5	20	18	22
4	Deportivo Iztapa	15	6	4	5	23	22	22
5	Deportivo Gomerano	15	6	3	6	18	17	21
6	Quiche FC	15	6	3	6	11	15	21
7	Coatepeque FC	14	6	2	6	15	15	20
8	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	14	5	4	5	15	14	19
9	Chichicasteco FC	14	3	4	7	15	27	13
10	CSD Amatitlan	15	4	0	11	13	30	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coatepeque FC	Deportivo Iztapa
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	1-0 W	1-1 D
CSD Amatitlan	3-0 W	4-2 W
Quiche FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Juventud Copalera	0-1 L	2-4 L
Chichicasteco FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Aguacatan FC	3-3 D	2-2 D
Huehuetecos FC	0-1 L	0-3 L
Deportivo Gomerano	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Coatepeque FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coatepeque FC

DLWLDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
04/10	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	1	7	W
30/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	12	3	W
27/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
13/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
07/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	11	D

Deportivo Iztapa

WWDWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	2-1	4-2	3	6	W
04/10	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
28/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coatepeque FC vs Deportivo Iztapa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coatepeque FC win (54%). Probabilities: Coatepeque FC 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Iztapa 20%.

How many goals are expected in Coatepeque FC vs Deportivo Iztapa?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Coatepeque FC 1.74 · Deportivo Iztapa 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Coatepeque FC vs Deportivo Iztapa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.