Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 19/10, 03:00

Prediction: Huehuetecos FC vs CSD Amatitlan

Team pages: Huehuetecos FC · CSD Amatitlan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Huehuetecos FC2.15

CSD Amatitlan0.84

1X2

67% 19% 13%

Huehuetecos FC Draw CSD Amatitlan

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Huehuetecos FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWDDW

CSD Amatitlan 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLLD

Head-to-head

Huehuetecos FC 1–0 CSD Amatitlan (1 last)

CSD Amatitlan1-2Huehuetecos FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huehuetecos FC 1561 · CSD Amatitlan 1460

	Huehuetecos FC	Draw	CSD Amatitlan
Our model	67%	21%	13%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huehuetecos FC (rating 1561 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 14.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huehuetecos FC	CSD Amatitlan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.5 / 0.5	6.8 / 1.6

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 7.80 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +11’	1.33	5.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +15’	1.25	4.91	7.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Huehuetecos FC 1–0–0 CSD Amatitlan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Amatitlan	1-2	Huehuetecos FC

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huehuetecos FC	16	9	3	4	27	11	30
2	Aguacatan FC	16	9	3	4	29	14	30
3	Juventud Copalera	16	7	4	5	21	18	25
4	Coatepeque FC	15	7	2	6	16	15	23
5	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	15	6	4	5	16	14	22
6	Deportivo Gomerano	16	6	4	6	19	18	22
7	Deportivo Iztapa	16	6	4	6	23	23	22
8	Quiche FC	17	6	3	8	11	19	21
9	Chichicasteco FC	15	3	4	8	15	28	13
10	CSD Amatitlan	16	4	1	11	14	31	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huehuetecos FC	CSD Amatitlan
Quiche FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Juventud Copalera	0-0 D	3-0 W
Chichicasteco FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Aguacatan FC	2-0 W	0-5 L
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	1-1 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Gomerano	1-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Iztapa	3-0 W	2-4 L
Coatepeque FC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huehuetecos FC

WWWWLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
08/10	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/10	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/10	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
20/09	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
14/09	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
07/09	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	2	7	W

CSD Amatitlan

LLLWWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-1	6	11	D
07/10	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	2-4	5	6	L
04/10	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
30/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
27/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	4	11	W
14/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
30/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huehuetecos FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huehuetecos FC win (67%). Probabilities: Huehuetecos FC 67%, draw 19%, CSD Amatitlan 13%.

How many goals are expected in Huehuetecos FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

The model expects 3 goals (Huehuetecos FC 2.15 · CSD Amatitlan 0.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Huehuetecos FC vs CSD Amatitlan?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.