Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 21/10, 20:00

Prediction: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Aguacatan FC

Team pages: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa · Aguacatan FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa1.36
Aguacatan FC0.81
1X2
49% 29% 22%
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Draw Aguacatan FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLDLLWW
Aguacatan FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDDWLWLW
Head-to-head
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 0–1 Aguacatan FC (1 last)
  • Aguacatan FC2-0Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1517 · Aguacatan FC 1552
Santa Lucia CotzumalguapaDrawAguacatan FC
Our model49%30%21%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Lucia CotzumalguapaAguacatan FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.62.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.8– / –
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/75/25%//%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 6– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.3– / –

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 0–0–1 Aguacatan FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Guatemala Primera Division
Aguacatan FC2-0Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huehuetecos FC 17944 281231
2 Aguacatan FC 16934 291430
3 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 16745 171425
4 Juventud Copalera 17746 222025
5 Coatepeque FC 16736 161524
6 Deportivo Gomerano 17656 191823
7 Deportivo Iztapa 17647 232422
8 Quiche FC 17638 111921
9 Chichicasteco FC 16448 172916
10 CSD Amatitlan 174211 153214

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Lucia CotzumalguapaAguacatan FC
Deportivo Iztapa 1-0 W 2-2 D
Chichicasteco FC 1-0 W 4-0 W
Coatepeque FC 0-1 L 3-3 D
CSD Amatitlan 0-2 L 5-0 W
Huehuetecos FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
Quiche FC 0-1 L 2-0 W
Deportivo Gomerano 3-0 W 1-0 W
Juventud Copalera 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

WDWWLDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Primera Division
– 1-0 –– W
11/10 Chichicasteco FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 1-0 –– W
07/10 Coatepeque FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 0-1 54 L
30/09 CSD Amatitlan
Guatemala Primera Division
0-2 0-2 67 L
27/09 Huehuetecos FC
Guatemala Primera Division
1-1 1-1 59 D
20/09 Quiche FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 Deportivo Gomerano
Guatemala Primera Division
– 3-0 –– W
06/09 Juventud Copalera
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 1-0 86 W
30/08 Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Primera Division
– 1-1 –– D
23/08 Chichicasteco FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 1-0 –– W

Aguacatan FC

WWWDDWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Quiche FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 2-0 –– W
11/10 Juventud Copalera
Guatemala Primera Division
– 0-1 –– L
08/10 Chichicasteco FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 4-0 –– W
01/10 Huehuetecos FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 0-2 –– L
27/09 Deportivo Gomerano
Guatemala Primera Division
– 1-0 –– W
20/09 Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Primera Division
– 2-2 –– D
13/09 Coatepeque FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 3-3 –– D
06/09 CSD Amatitlan
Guatemala Primera Division
– 5-0 –– W
30/08 Quiche FC
Guatemala Primera Division
– 2-0 –– W
23/08 Juventud Copalera
Guatemala Primera Division
– 3-2 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Aguacatan FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa win (49%). Probabilities: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 49%, draw 29%, Aguacatan FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Aguacatan FC?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1.36 · Aguacatan FC 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Aguacatan FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.