Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 01/10, 03:00

Prediction: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlán

Team pages: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF · Mictlán

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1.49

Mictlán0.98

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Draw Mictlán

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWWW

Mictlán 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0–1 Mictlán (1 last)

Mictlán2-0Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1552 · Mictlán 1589

	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	Draw	Mictlán
Our model	48%	29%	24%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 15.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	Mictlán
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	8.8 / 0.3	6.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +47’	1.83	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0–0–1 Mictlán

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	2-0 HT 1-0	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	11	8	3	0	22	7	27
2	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	12	8	0	4	17	15	24
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	12	7	2	3	23	10	23
4	San Benito FC	11	6	1	4	21	16	19
5	CSD Sayaxche	12	5	3	4	14	10	18
6	CSD Chiquimulilla	12	5	1	6	14	12	16
7	Deportivo Fraijanes	12	4	2	6	21	20	14
8	CD Achuapa	12	4	1	7	7	15	13
9	AFF Guatemala	12	4	0	8	7	21	12
10	Champs Academy	12	1	1	10	5	25	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	Mictlán
CD Achuapa	1-0 W	4-1 W
Deportivo Fraijanes	2-1 W	4-2 W
Champs Academy	1-0 W	1-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-1 W	2-1 W
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2-1 W	1-1 D
San Benito FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
AFF Guatemala	2-0 W	3-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mictlán (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

WLLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-1	2	12	W
30/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
23/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	11	7	W
16/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	3	9	L
09/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W

Mictlán

DWWWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
20/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	4-1	1	8	W
13/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-2	13	5	D
06/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	4-2	5	6	W
29/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	5	11	W
23/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
16/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
13/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	5	9	W
09/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlán?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Santa Rosa CDF win (49%). Probabilities: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 49%, draw 27%, Mictlán 24%.

How many goals are expected in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlán?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1.49 · Mictlán 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlán?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.