Football · Chile Primera B · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers
Team pages: Cobreloa · Santiago Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Cobreloa1.58
Santiago Wanderers1.13
1X2
Cobreloa
Draw
Santiago Wanderers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cobreloa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobreloa
1–2–3
Santiago Wanderers
(6 last)
- Santiago Wanderers5-1Cobreloa
- Cobreloa2-2Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers2-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa2-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers5-1Cobreloa
- Santiago Wanderers2-0Cobreloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobreloa 1491 · Santiago Wanderers 1518
| Cobreloa | Draw | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobreloa | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 2.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobreloa 1–2–3 Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Cobreloa |
| 23/11/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 20/11/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
| 26/10/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 14/06/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Cobreloa |
| 10/08/23 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobreloa | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Union San Felipe | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Magallanes | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Puerto Montt | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobreloa win (47%). Probabilities: Cobreloa 47%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers 26%.
How many goals are expected in Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Cobreloa 1.58 · Santiago Wanderers 1.13), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.