Prediction: Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)

Team pages: Greenisland (W) · Mid Ulster (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Greenisland (W)3.07
Mid Ulster (W)1.32
1X2
72% 16% 13%
Greenisland (W) Draw Mid Ulster (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Greenisland (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Mid Ulster (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWWWDW
Head-to-head
Greenisland (W) 3–0 Mid Ulster (W) (3 last)
  • Mid Ulster (W)0-6Greenisland (W)
  • Mid Ulster (W)0-3Greenisland (W)
  • Greenisland (W)4-3Mid Ulster (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greenisland (W) 1596 · Mid Ulster (W) 1500
Greenisland (W)DrawMid Ulster (W)
Our model72%15%13%
Market72%16%13%
Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greenisland (W) (rating 1596 vs 1500).
  • H2H favours Greenisland (W): 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Greenisland (W)Mid Ulster (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.8 / 1.61.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.81.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/22/22%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.61.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.4 / 01.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenisland (W) 300 Mid Ulster (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/07/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Mid Ulster (W)0-6Greenisland (W)
08/09/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Mid Ulster (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Greenisland (W)
09/05/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Greenisland (W)4-3
HT 4-2
Mid Ulster (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreenisland (W)Mid Ulster (W)
Craigavon City (W) 5-1 W 2-1 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 5-1 W 3-3 D
Bangor FC (W) 1-3 L 2-1 W
Strabane Athletic (W) 4-3 W 4-1 W
Ballymoney United (W) 2-1 W 2-1 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mid Ulster (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greenisland (W)

WWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/09 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-2 8-3 40 W
10/08 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 5-1 71 W
05/08 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 5-1 41 W
29/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-3 60 L
22/07 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-1 4-3 70 W
10/07 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
6-0 W
08/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-1 31 W
24/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-1 20 W
03/06 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 3-2 30 W
06/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 51 W

Mid Ulster (W)

DLLLWWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-1 72 W
26/08 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 3-3 32 D
21/08 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 22 W
12/08 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 4-1 51 W
07/08 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 2-1 20 W
31/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-1 22 W
10/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-6 L
03/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 20 L
05/06 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 93 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenisland (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Greenisland (W) 72%, draw 16%, Mid Ulster (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Greenisland (W) 3.07 · Mid Ulster (W) 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.