Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 02/09, 20:45
Prediction: Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Bangor FC (W)
Team pages: Ballyclare Comrades (W) · Bangor FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
Ballyclare Comrades (W)1.82
Bangor FC (W)2.55
1X2
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Draw
Bangor FC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Bangor FC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
0–3
Bangor FC (W)
(3 last)
- Bangor FC (W)4-1Ballyclare Comrades (W)
- Ballyclare Comrades (W)2-4Bangor FC (W)
- Bangor FC (W)3-1Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1472 · Bangor FC (W) 1545
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Draw | Bangor FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 21% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor FC (W) (rating 1472 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Bangor FC (W): 3-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Bangor FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 0–0–3 Bangor FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Bangor FC (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
| 09/07/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 09/04/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Bangor FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballyclare Comrades (W) | Bangor FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballymoney United (W) | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Mid Ulster (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Sion Swifts (W) | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Greenisland (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Craigavon City (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 1-0 W | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballyclare Comrades (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/06 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Bangor FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/07 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bangor FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Ballyclare Comrades (W) 27%, draw 20%, Bangor FC (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?
The model expects 4.38 goals (Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1.82 · Bangor FC (W) 2.55), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.