Prediction: St. James Swifts (W) vs Greenisland (W)

Team pages: St. James Swifts (W) · Greenisland (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.28Total
St. James Swifts (W)2
Greenisland (W)2.28
1X2
34% 21% 45%
St. James Swifts (W) Draw Greenisland (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
St. James Swifts (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLLLLW
Greenisland (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Head-to-head
St. James Swifts (W) 1–1 Greenisland (W) (2 last)
  • Greenisland (W)3-2St. James Swifts (W)
  • Greenisland (W)1-2St. James Swifts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St. James Swifts (W) 1461 · Greenisland (W) 1572
St. James Swifts (W)DrawGreenisland (W)
Our model34%21%45%
Market34%21%45%
Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greenisland (W) (rating 1461 vs 1572).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St. James Swifts (W)Greenisland (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.13.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.91.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.82.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 00.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · St. James Swifts (W) 101 Greenisland (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/06/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Greenisland (W)3-2
HT 1-2
St. James Swifts (W)
11/08/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Greenisland (W)1-2
HT 1-1
St. James Swifts (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt. James Swifts (W)Greenisland (W)
Craigavon City (W) 3-1 W 5-1 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 0-2 L 5-1 W
Strabane Athletic (W) 2-3 L 4-3 W
Ballymoney United (W) 1-3 L 2-1 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1-2 L 2-1 W
Bangor FC (W) 4-1 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Greenisland (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St. James Swifts (W)

WWWLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 3-1 61 W
19/08 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 20 L
05/08 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-3 31 L
29/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 32 L
22/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-2 71 L
10/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-5 13 L
03/06 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-3 30 L
20/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 5-1 53 W
13/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-0 61 W
06/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 4-1 21 W

Greenisland (W)

LWWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 5-1 71 W
05/08 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 5-1 41 W
29/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-3 60 L
22/07 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-1 4-3 70 W
10/07 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
6-0 W
08/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-1 31 W
24/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-1 20 W
03/06 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 3-2 30 W
06/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 51 W
22/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-3 1-4 61 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St. James Swifts (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Greenisland (W) win (45%). Probabilities: St. James Swifts (W) 34%, draw 21%, Greenisland (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in St. James Swifts (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

The model expects 4.28 goals (St. James Swifts (W) 2 · Greenisland (W) 2.28), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in St. James Swifts (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.