Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 04/09, 20:30

Prediction: Mid Ulster (W) vs Craigavon City (W)

Team pages: Mid Ulster (W) · Craigavon City (W)

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Mid Ulster (W)2.67
Craigavon City (W)0.98
1X2
73% 15% 11%
Mid Ulster (W) Draw Craigavon City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Mid Ulster (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWWWWD
Craigavon City (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Mid Ulster (W) 0–1 Craigavon City (W) (1 last)
  • Craigavon City (W)1-0Mid Ulster (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mid Ulster (W) 1507 · Craigavon City (W) 1371
Mid Ulster (W)DrawCraigavon City (W)
Our model72%17%11%
Market74%14%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mid Ulster (W) (rating 1507 vs 1371).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mid Ulster (W)Craigavon City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.40.7 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.10.2 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.20.8 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 01.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mid Ulster (W) 001 Craigavon City (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/06/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Craigavon City (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Mid Ulster (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMid Ulster (W)Craigavon City (W)
Ballymena Utd (W) 3-3 D 1-3 L
Bangor FC (W) 2-1 W 0-2 L
Strabane Athletic (W) 4-1 W 0-6 L
Ballymoney United (W) 2-1 W 1-2 L
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 3-1 W 1-3 L
Greenisland (W) 0-6 L 1-5 L
Sion Swifts (W) 1-3 L 0-6 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Mid Ulster (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mid Ulster (W)

LDLLLWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/08 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 3-3 32 D
21/08 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 22 W
12/08 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 4-1 51 W
07/08 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 2-1 20 W
31/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-1 22 W
10/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-6 L
03/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 20 L
05/06 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 93 D
13/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 0-7 21 L

Craigavon City (W)

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 1-3 01 L
10/08 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-5 11 L
29/07 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-3 01 L
24/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 0-2 00 L
08/07 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 0-6 21 L
26/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-2 01 L
17/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-3 41 L
05/06 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 1-0 22 W
20/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 1-5 53 L
15/05 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 0-6 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mid Ulster (W) vs Craigavon City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mid Ulster (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Mid Ulster (W) 73%, draw 15%, Craigavon City (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Mid Ulster (W) vs Craigavon City (W)?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Mid Ulster (W) 2.67 · Craigavon City (W) 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mid Ulster (W) vs Craigavon City (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.