Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 09/09, 20:30
Prediction: Sion Swifts (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)
Team pages: Sion Swifts (W) · St. James Swifts (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.72Total
Sion Swifts (W)3.36
St. James Swifts (W)1.36
1X2
Sion Swifts (W)
Draw
St. James Swifts (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sion Swifts (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
St. James Swifts (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sion Swifts (W)
2–1
St. James Swifts (W)
(3 last)
- St. James Swifts (W)0-5Sion Swifts (W)
- St. James Swifts (W)5-3Sion Swifts (W)
- Sion Swifts (W)4-1St. James Swifts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sion Swifts (W) 1626 · St. James Swifts (W) 1452
| Sion Swifts (W) | Draw | St. James Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 84% | 9% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.72 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sion Swifts (W) (rating 1626 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Sion Swifts (W): 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sion Swifts (W) | St. James Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.9 / 7.5 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sion Swifts (W) 2–0–1 St. James Swifts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 10/09/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 5-3 HT 3-1 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 11/06/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | St. James Swifts (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sion Swifts (W) | St. James Swifts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 9-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 6-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sion Swifts (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 17 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 9-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
St. James Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-3 | 3-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/08 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05/08 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sion Swifts (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sion Swifts (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Sion Swifts (W) 80%, draw 11%, St. James Swifts (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Sion Swifts (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
The model expects 4.72 goals (Sion Swifts (W) 3.36 · St. James Swifts (W) 1.36), with a 56% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sion Swifts (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.