Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 09/09, 20:30

Prediction: Ballymena Utd (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)

Team pages: Ballymena Utd (W) · Ballyclare Comrades (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Ballymena Utd (W)1.85

Ballyclare Comrades (W)1.85

1X2

39% 22% 39%

Ballymena Utd (W) Draw Ballyclare Comrades (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ballymena Utd (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLLWD

Ballyclare Comrades (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Ballymena Utd (W) 1–1–1 Ballyclare Comrades (W) (3 last)

Ballyclare Comrades (W)0-5Ballymena Utd (W)
Ballyclare Comrades (W)2-2Ballymena Utd (W)
Ballymena Utd (W)0-3Ballyclare Comrades (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ballymena Utd (W) 1488 · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1455

	Ballymena Utd (W)	Draw	Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Our model	38%	23%	38%
Market	40%	21%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ballymena Utd (W)	Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.33

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.41 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +4’	2.25	4.33	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +36’	2.60	3.93	2.06
14:48 +33’	2.41▼	3.93	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd (W) 1–1–1 Ballyclare Comrades (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Ballyclare Comrades (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	Ballymena Utd (W)
12/06/26 Northern Ireland Cup Women	Ballyclare Comrades (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Ballymena Utd (W)
23/07/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Ballymena Utd (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Ballyclare Comrades (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ballymena Utd (W)	Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Mid Ulster (W)	3-3 D	1-3 L
St. James Swifts (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sion Swifts (W)	0-4 L	1-3 L
Greenisland (W)	1-5 L	1-2 L
Craigavon City (W)	3-1 W	3-1 W
Bangor FC (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
Strabane Athletic (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Ballymoney United (W)	2-4 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ballymena Utd (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
19/08	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
12/08	Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-2	0-4	1	0	L
05/08	Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-3	1-5	1	1	L
29/07	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/07	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
08/07	Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
24/06	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
17/06	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	2-4	4	4	L
22/05	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Ballyclare Comrades (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
19/08	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
31/07	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
22/07	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
20/07	Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
08/07	Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	1-3	3	2	L
24/06	Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	1-2	3	0	L
17/06	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
03/06	Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-2	1-4	0	0	L
20/05	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymena Utd (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd (W) 39%, draw 22%, Ballyclare Comrades (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Ballymena Utd (W) 1.85 · Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1.85), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Ballyclare Comrades (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.