Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 24/10, 23:00
Prediction: Atletico Choloma vs Genesis de Comayagua
Team pages: Atletico Choloma · Genesis de Comayagua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Atletico Choloma1.01
Genesis de Comayagua1.11
1X2
Atletico Choloma
Draw
Genesis de Comayagua
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Choloma
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Genesis de Comayagua
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Choloma
1–1–3
Genesis de Comayagua
(5 last)
- Genesis de Comayagua2-0Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma1-2Genesis de Comayagua
- Genesis de Comayagua0-0Atletico Choloma
- Genesis de Comayagua1-0Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma2-1Genesis de Comayagua
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Choloma 1461 · Genesis de Comayagua 1487
| Atletico Choloma | Draw | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Genesis de Comayagua: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Choloma | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Choloma 1–1–3 Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 25/03/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Atletico Choloma | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Genesis de Comayagua |
| 01/02/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 02/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 24/08/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Atletico Choloma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Genesis de Comayagua |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Lobos UPNFM | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Genesis de Comayagua | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Atletico Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Choloma | Genesis de Comayagua |
|---|---|---|
| Juticalpa | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Motagua | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Estrella Roja | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Olancho FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Real Espana | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| CD Platense | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CD Marathon | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Genesis de Comayagua (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Choloma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 13 | L |
| 10/10 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Choloma vs Genesis de Comayagua?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Genesis de Comayagua win (38%). Probabilities: Atletico Choloma 33%, draw 29%, Genesis de Comayagua 38%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Choloma vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Atletico Choloma 1.01 · Genesis de Comayagua 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Choloma vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.