Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 13/09, 18:15

Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik

Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik · Njardvik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Throttur Reykjavik1.99
Njardvik1.17
1X2
55% 23% 21%
Throttur Reykjavik Draw Njardvik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDLWLWWW
Njardvik 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik 3–2–1 Njardvik (6 last)
  • Njardvik0-1Throttur Reykjavik
  • Njardvik1-0Throttur Reykjavik
  • Throttur Reykjavik2-0Njardvik
  • Njardvik2-3Throttur Reykjavik
  • Throttur Reykjavik2-2Njardvik
  • Njardvik1-1Throttur Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik 1571 · Njardvik 1521
Throttur ReykjavikDrawNjardvik
Our model55%24%21%
Market56%23%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1571 vs 1521).
  • H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Throttur ReykjavikNjardvik
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.11.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.51.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.93.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik 321 Njardvik

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/09/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik0-1
HT 0-1
Throttur Reykjavik
03/07/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik1-0
HT 0-0
Throttur Reykjavik
25/04/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik2-0
HT 0-0
Njardvik
17/08/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik2-3
HT 1-2
Throttur Reykjavik
09/06/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik2-2
HT 1-0
Njardvik
25/07/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik1-1
HT 0-0
Throttur Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Afturelding 221435 653345
2 Throttur Reykjavik 221345 502543
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 221318 493640
4 HK Kopavogur 221228 524038
5 Njardvik 221228 382938
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 228410 343328
7 IR Reykjavik 228410 404628
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 228311 364327
9 IF Vestri 228311 304327
10 Volsungur 227510 324426
11 Grindavik 225107 253525
12 KF Aegir 222317 25699

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThrottur ReykjavikNjardvik
IF Vestri 2-0 W 3-1 W
KF Aegir 7-2 W 1-0 W
HK Kopavogur 0-3 L 3-2 W
Fylkir Reykjavik 3-1 W 1-4 L
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-1 D 4-1 W
Afturelding 4-1 W 2-1 W
Leiknir Reykjavik 5-1 W 0-2 L
Volsungur 1-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 1 L 6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Throttur Reykjavik

WWWDLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 72 W
05/09 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-0 75 W
28/08 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
3-2 7-2 194 W
22/08 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-3 45 L
17/08 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 3-1 17 W
13/08 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 1-2 34 L
08/08 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 1-1 74 D
29/07 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
3-0 4-1 44 W
23/07 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 5-1 94 W
18/07 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 81 W

Njardvik

LWWWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 92 L
05/09 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 2-1 103 W
29/08 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 95 L
22/08 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 4-0 62 W
17/08 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 1-3 124 L
13/08 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
4-1 4-1 52 W
08/08 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-1 31 W
28/07 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 46 W
24/07 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-2 103 W
17/07 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-4 1-4 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik win (55%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik 55%, draw 23%, Njardvik 21%.

How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Throttur Reykjavik 1.99 · Njardvik 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.