Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 09/09, 19:00

Prediction: Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik

Team pages: Njardvik · Throttur Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Njardvik1.46

Throttur Reykjavik1.61

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Njardvik Draw Throttur Reykjavik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Njardvik 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Throttur Reykjavik 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Njardvik 2–2–2 Throttur Reykjavik (6 last)

Njardvik1-0Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik2-0Njardvik
Njardvik2-3Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik2-2Njardvik
Njardvik1-1Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik0-1Njardvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Njardvik 1543 · Throttur Reykjavik 1556

	Njardvik	Draw	Throttur Reykjavik
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Njardvik	Throttur Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.8	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	3.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.30

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.70▼	Pinn 2.85
X	3.50 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.55 ★
2	2.10 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.31

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +6’	2.80	3.50	2.10
08:43 +4’	2.75▼	3.50	2.15▲
11:31 +6’	3.00▲	3.50	2.00▼
13:21 +5’	2.70▼	3.30▼	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +7’	2.87	3.72	2.17
17:34 +65’	2.89▲	3.62▼	2.20▲
11:37	2.97▲	3.62	2.15▼
12:51 +34’	2.84▼	3.50▼	2.27▲
17:12 +57’	2.85▲	3.55▲	2.31▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 2–2–2 Throttur Reykjavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-0 HT 0-0	Throttur Reykjavik
25/04/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	2-0 HT 0-0	Njardvik
17/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	2-3 HT 1-2	Throttur Reykjavik
09/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	2-2 HT 1-0	Njardvik
25/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-1 HT 0-0	Throttur Reykjavik
18/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	0-1 HT 0-0	Njardvik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	22	14	3	5	65	33	45
2	Throttur Reykjavik	22	13	4	5	50	25	43
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	13	1	8	49	36	40
4	HK Kopavogur	22	12	2	8	52	40	38
5	Njardvik	22	12	2	8	38	29	38
6	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	8	4	10	34	33	28
7	IR Reykjavik	22	8	4	10	40	46	28
8	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	22	8	3	11	36	43	27
9	IF Vestri	22	8	3	11	30	43	27
10	Volsungur	22	7	5	10	32	44	26
11	Grindavik	22	5	10	7	25	35	25
12	KF Aegir	22	2	3	17	25	69	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Njardvik	Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding	2-1 W	4-1 W
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-2 L	5-1 W
Volsungur	4-0 W	1-0 W
IR Reykjavik	1-3 L	1-1 D
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	4-1 W	1-1 D
IF Vestri	3-1 W	2-0 W
KF Aegir	1-0 W	7-2 W
HK Kopavogur	3-2 W	0-3 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-4 L	3-1 W
Grindavik	5-4 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Njardvik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	2-1	10	3	W
29/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
22/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/08	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-3	12	4	L
13/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	4-1	5	2	W
08/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
28/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
17/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	2	4	L
10/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	5-4	6	4	W

Throttur Reykjavik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
28/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	3-2	7-2	19	4	W
22/08	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
17/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-1	1	7	W
13/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	3-0	4-1	4	4	W
23/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	5-1	9	4	W
18/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
10/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (40%). Probabilities: Njardvik 33%, draw 27%, Throttur Reykjavik 40%.

How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Njardvik 1.46 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.