Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 19/09, 18:15
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik · Fylkir Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
Throttur Reykjavik2.24
Fylkir Reykjavik1.53
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik
Draw
Fylkir Reykjavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Fylkir Reykjavik
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik
6–0
Fylkir Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik3-1Fylkir Reykjavik
- Fylkir Reykjavik1-3Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik3-0Fylkir Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik2-1Fylkir Reykjavik
- Fylkir Reykjavik1-2Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik2-0Fylkir Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik 1589 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1477
| Throttur Reykjavik | Draw | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1589 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.9 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik 6–0–0 Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 06/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 05/03/26 Iceland League Cup | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 29/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 23/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 15/01/25 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 33 | 45 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 36 | 40 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 38 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 38 |
| 6 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
| 7 | IR Reykjavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 46 | 28 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 43 | 27 |
| 9 | IF Vestri | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Volsungur | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 44 | 26 |
| 11 | Grindavik | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 25 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 69 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik | Fylkir Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| HK Kopavogur | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Grindavik | 1-2 L | 6-1 W |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Afturelding | 4-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 5-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 09/09 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
3-2 | 7-2 | 19 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 13/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/09 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 6-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/08 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik win (52%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik 52%, draw 24%, Fylkir Reykjavik 24%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Throttur Reykjavik 2.24 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1.53), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.